Odds Trump Winning 2024. After the debate and the assassination attempt against trump, the national polling average widened to trump +3 before biden announced he would leave the race. Current vice president kamala harris and former president donald trump are the presidential election favorites for 2024.
The colored gradients are used to show higher probabilities for harris or trump, deepening as the market likelihood of winning increases: While the odds might be split on who could win the presidency, the pools, per fivethirtyeight, still favor harris.